Summary
A recent peer-reviewed study led by researchers at Harvard University reveals that extreme rainfall poses an underappreciated and significant threat to global cocoa production, surpassing the risks of heat and drought. Analyzing data from major producers like Ghana, the study shows that heavy downpours during the flowering season damage sensitive flowers and pods while accelerating fungal infections like black pod disease. These climate shocks, combined with issues like aging trees and infrastructure challenges, have driven historic price surges for cocoa. As smallholder farmers struggle with extreme weather and post-harvest losses, industry experts warn that mounting pressures could accelerate the shift toward cocoa-free chocolate alternatives.